Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.015772 0.017563 0.019369 0.021323 0.023370 0.025447 0.027710
2025-05-18 0.012119 0.014897 0.017828 0.021122 0.024695 0.028431 0.032612
2025-05-25 0.009746 0.012998 0.016551 0.020661 0.025226 0.030094 0.035634
2025-06-01 0.008073 0.011633 0.015654 0.020418 0.025816 0.031662 0.038401
2025-06-08 0.006655 0.010394 0.014755 0.020046 0.026146 0.032844 0.040650
2025-06-15 0.005688 0.009586 0.014270 0.020067 0.026851 0.034382 0.043237
2025-06-22 0.004671 0.008605 0.013494 0.019677 0.027024 0.035272 0.045052
2025-06-29 0.003674 0.007538 0.012530 0.018993 0.026798 0.035659 0.046258
2025-07-06 0.002741 0.006438 0.011440 0.018088 0.026254 0.035636 0.046956
2025-07-13 0.002383 0.006127 0.011345 0.018390 0.027129 0.037238 0.049494
2025-07-20 0.001911 0.005576 0.010888 0.018203 0.027391 0.038104 0.051170
2025-07-27 0.001511 0.005077 0.010464 0.018032 0.027649 0.038948 0.052805
2025-08-03 0.001215 0.004748 0.010312 0.018274 0.028503 0.040603 0.055513
2025-08-10 0.000857 0.004230 0.009864 0.018129 0.028893 0.041738 0.057660
2025-08-17 0.000524 0.003633 0.009237 0.017699 0.028892 0.042375 0.059198
2025-08-24 0.000305 0.003181 0.008785 0.017475 0.029129 0.043281 0.061036
2025-08-31 0.000139 0.002723 0.008270 0.017130 0.029186 0.043951 0.062580
2025-09-07 0.000058 0.002445 0.008026 0.017150 0.029701 0.045170 0.064767
2025-09-14 0.000005 0.002057 0.007539 0.016789 0.029700 0.045740 0.066166
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001622 0.006895 0.016158 0.029314 0.045814 0.066955
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001183 0.006150 0.015324 0.028623 0.045485 0.067236
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001091 0.006127 0.015602 0.029434 0.047034 0.069792
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000896 0.005831 0.015430 0.029618 0.047787 0.071372